The deliverable is as follows. Please choose any one currency – which does not have to be a currency you have traded and does not have to be a currency available on FTS. Imagine you are working at an investment bank and are tasked with writing a research report on that currency. Start with some historical background, then using the analysis we have been using since the start of the semester, discuss where that currency has been and where it is now on the basis of different concepts in FX forecasting such as trade flows, capital flows, relative interest rates, relative inflation rates, political stability, commodity prices, and so on. Depending on the currency, different concepts will be more important than others. Conclude with a forecast as to where you think the currency is going. Write this as if you actually work at an investment bank, complete with the bank’s name, etc.
The paper should be roughly two pages, single spaced, including some charts/graphics. Do not include any quoted material, but certainly use citations for any sources you use.
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